[Jody Barton]

In a word no.

Ferrari were close to walking away with the race in Bahrain, and Hesh posted some interesting trace analysis of that race in the race thread. In short I don't think we're going to be able to call the shape of the season just yet. Why? Because Ferrari have built an amazing engine, they just need to get their aero package working and we could see a very different championship emerge. We need to wait a little while longer yet, Baku should favour Ferrari, but if the aforementioned trace analysis is right about Mercedes going "long" on gears 7 and 8 and short on the mid gears they might not be as far off of Ferrari on that long straight as many think they will. But that gearing will hurt them in Spain, the last race before they get to change their boxes.

If after Baku and Spain we have more Merc one twos then sure, maybe we can call it then. But that is a big IF that we shouldn't be calling now. As to Vettel Vs Leclerc? I don't know. I think Ferrari pulling team orders in his favour for the first three races of the season is ridiculous personally, but maybe if Lewis continues this head of steam he's building up it'll be their only way to stop him. I happen to think Vettel over a season is probably the better bet, but I'd prefer it if he proved it first before Ferrari called off the racing.